Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.718209 9.069255 10.551908 12.295008 14.283213 16.475203 19.069500
2025-12-14 5.229672 6.975536 9.102732 11.862392 15.322369 19.489429 24.857203
2025-12-21 3.821578 5.657370 8.091620 11.504363 16.105321 22.025707 30.140345
2025-12-28 3.189667 5.143602 7.918135 12.054572 17.954569 25.939351 37.404910
2026-01-04 2.680488 4.669417 7.671430 12.394636 19.466814 29.456677 44.371811
2026-01-11 2.228412 4.176450 7.289774 12.437436 20.492771 32.316671 50.591060
2026-01-18 1.875118 3.765753 6.953201 12.469980 21.455937 35.108371 56.867435
2026-01-25 1.535493 3.305902 6.453842 12.152494 21.802551 36.956749 61.825244
2026-02-01 1.264491 2.914137 6.002348 11.837663 22.087881 38.688718 66.677245
2026-02-08 1.020549 2.521827 5.482883 11.322976 21.959884 39.714835 70.444548
2026-02-15 0.837398 2.214624 5.071009 10.938882 21.996234 40.978661 74.638070
2026-02-22 0.746552 2.091303 5.000430 11.181941 23.160137 44.198826 82.241809
2026-03-01 0.659334 1.968910 4.936414 11.477955 24.540971 48.052670 91.460943
2026-03-08 0.539551 1.738666 4.608309 11.210172 24.857838 50.115943 97.859875
2026-03-15 0.438568 1.527859 4.282596 10.895972 25.042097 51.945497 103.975019
2026-03-22 0.401509 1.485119 4.342800 11.426275 26.967205 57.122835 116.427009
2026-03-29 0.358457 1.412191 4.315117 11.751982 28.496895 61.658148 127.985997
2026-04-05 0.308840 1.303208 4.174444 11.793057 29.423286 65.092268 137.705802
2026-04-12 0.266308 1.203601 4.038718 11.824170 30.324545 68.531534 147.635626
2026-04-19 0.219304 1.070994 3.783985 11.521059 30.446110 70.410483 154.671319
2026-04-26 0.180380 0.953059 3.545412 11.220523 30.534514 72.214733 161.654582
2026-05-03 0.143562 0.827118 3.253081 10.729309 30.117482 72.923833 166.488340
2026-05-10 0.116046 0.727917 3.020821 10.362822 29.952596 74.141072 172.402604